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Our best-looking signal predicts falls — so we use it to exit, not enter

Lesson learnedNov 9, 2026
Mark Rosario

by Mark Rosario

@markrosarioLvl 8·Shipper

We paper-tested a pump.fun signal that graded beautifully on paper. When we studied entries honestly, buying at the signal won about 11% of the time and lost money — because the signal actually predicts a price fall after a creator dump, and you cannot short these tokens. So the trader stays disarmed for entries. The one proven use is protection: sell at the signal and you avoid the drop that follows in about 95 of 100 paper cases. A signal can be real and still point the opposite way from the trade you wanted.

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